Oil prices grew by 1.1 percent in September modestly rebounding from a 7 percent drop in July. Since January, when the price of Brent crude reached a 12-year low, oil prices have rebounded by 50 percent and nearly reached last year's average of $46.99 per barrel. Barring any market surprises, a further recovery of oil prices hinges on a reduction of oil production by OPEC member states in the fourth quarter.
Fluctuations in global crude oil prices have always been the focus of the economic and financial news. The higher crude oil prices rise, the more positive is the economic outlook for petroleum exporters. In contrast, countries dependent on petroleum imports suffer to varying degrees from those same higher prices as import bills increase. Estimates for the price per barrel for crude oil from leading financial and multilateral institutions are thus closely monitored by governments, investors, and consumers alike.
Leading international agencies made the following oil price predictions during the first half of this year:
View more energy statistics and visualizations related to energy, including the estimated breakeven cost of oil production by country, natural gas price dynamics and insights from the BP Energy Outlook 2035, or dive deeper into historical commodity prices from the World Bank and IMF or commodity price forecasts.
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As you examine commodity prices and forecasts, you may also be interested in economic forecasts for the G20 countries across the following indicators: GDP growth | inflation | unemployment | government debt | current account balance | external debt.
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Autumn and winter are traditionally characterized by the growth in energy consumption and, thus, in prices for energy products. Still, natural gas prices in the US, Europe, and Japan showed different dynamics in November. Thus, the spot price of natural gas at Henry Hub, US, fell by 15.2% in November compared to the previous month. This decline - which was the sharpest monthly drop since December of 2014 - interrupted a period of steady growth lasting from April. On the contrary, in Europe, average import border price of natural gas surged by 14.4% - the most dramatic monthly increase over the last 17 years. What for the import price of...
2016 was an exceptional year for coal prices. The period of decline which began in 2011, was interrupted by the rapid growth. Coal prices grew by 7-10 percent in November continuing a 24-29 percent growth in October. Since January, when the price of coal reached a 10-year low, coal prices have rebounded by about 100 percent. This situation is attributable to several factors. First, it is the consequence of an implemented policy in China which aimed at reducing harmful emissions. China is the largest coal consumer and coal producer at the same time. The reduction in own-grown production led to the increase in coal imports. Second, not only...
Copper price grew by 15.2 percent in November. It was the biggest growth since 2010. The copper market was stagnant for few years. The prices at the moment are too low and producers are reluctant to increase production or develop new sources. They are waiting for prices to rise. Probably, November became the first point of the new growth period. Experts predict price growth after demand in China has grown because of road building. In fact, demand will grow more and more, and some of the economists expect copper deficit and high prices as a result. Leading international agencies made the following copper price predictions:The World Bank in...
Source: Primary Commodity Prices, IMF Select any commodity from the dropdown menu at the top right corner and follow monthly price developments since 1980